Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Guesstimates on March 13, 8:30 am ET

Spiders - June S&P Futures: Yesterday afternoon I said that a rally to 1430 in the futures and to 141.90 in the Spiders was likely before the next down leg begins. I still think so but a move below 1405 in the futures and 139.50 in the Spiders will mean that this extended decline has started. The 135 level remains my Spider target and 1360 my S&P target.

QQQQ: Resistance still stands at 43.70 and a drop to the 39.50 target is imminent.

TLT - June Bonds: TLT is headed up into the 94-95 range. The bonds should hold the112-08 level and then rally to 114-24. Over the next few months the bonds are headed for 120.

June 10 Year Notes: The notes made their low on January 26 and are now headed for 111. Short term support is at 108-08 and the next upside target is 109-18.

Euro-US Dollar: I think a drop in the euro to below the 125 level is underway. Resistance is at 132.20.

Dollar-Yen: The yen has been much weaker than I anticipated. My best guess now is that the entire drop from the 122.18 level will carry the market to 113. Meantime the 118.30 level is resistance. I expect to see the yen trade at 130 in 2007.

OIH - USO - April Crude: OIH should soon drop to 129-130. USO should drop to 45. April crude is headed down to 54.50.

GLD - April Gold: I think that both GLD and April gold have begun an extended decline that will carry gold well below 600. Resistance today in the futures is at 665.

May Silver: Silver has begun an extended drop that will carry the market below 1000. Resistance today in the futures is at 1336.

Google: Support in Google is at 430. From there a move to 564 will begin.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi
Great work, thank you.

I have a question in regards to cycles ie 9 month cycles, 40 month cycles etc.

Is there a site that deals with wnen the cycle bottoms and tops are due?

Thank You

John

Anonymous said...

Square jupiter-sol 9 march.In a century this date is very down for stockmatkets,it is should down strong.