Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Guesstimates on September 24, 2008

Spiders - September S&P E-mini Futures:  The E-minis have bounced three times off of the 1188 level but the rallies from there have been on decreasing volume. I conclude that the market has to go lower before it can start a move to 1300.  My downside target for today is 1165 but since I am bullish I won’t be dogmatic about this. The current rally should carry the S&P up to1400 during the next few months and much higher than that next year. 

QQQ: The Q’s should hold support near 39.50 and then start a move up to 45.00.  

TLT - December Bonds: I think a big drop has begun in the bonds. It should carry the market back to 111 or lower. 

December 10 Year Notes: The notes are now headed for the 110-111 zone. 

Euro-US Dollar: The trend in the euro is downward and I think the market is headed for 135. Resistance above the market is now at 149.40. 

Dollar-Yen: Resistance is at 108.50 and I think the market is headed for 98.00. 

XLE - OIH - USO – November Crude: Crude now has resistance at 112.00. Next downside target is 75.    

GLD - December Gold: Gold still has resistance at 935, but my guess now is that Thursday’s 925 high marked the end of the rally. I think gold will soon drop to 600. 

SLV - December Silver: Resistance is at 1390. Next downside target is 900.   

Google: I am not very sure about Google’ technical position. I still think it has a good shot at 375 before it resumes its long term bullish trend.   

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Unfortunately it never carries higher but always lower.Regards