Thursday, September 25, 2008

Guesstimates on September 25, 2008

Spiders - September S&P  E-mini Futures:  The e-minis are in a trading range between 1180 and 1200. Strength above the high of this range will mean that the market is headed for the 1300 level.  Failing that indication the e-minis will probably drop to 1165 first and then start a big rally. The current rally should carry the S&P up to1400 during the next few months and much higher than that next year. 

QQQ: The Q’s should hold support near 39.50 and then start a move up to 45.00.   

TLT - December Bonds: I think a big drop has begun in the bonds. It should carry the market back to 111 or lower. 

December 10 Year Notes: The notes are now headed for the 110-111 zone. 

Euro-US Dollar: The trend in the euro is downward and I think the market is headed for 135. Resistance above the market is now at 149.40. 

Dollar-Yen: Resistance is at 108.50 and I think the market is headed for 98.00. 

XLE - OIH - USO – November Crude: Crude now has resistance at 112.00. Next downside target is 75. 

GLD - December Gold: Gold still has resistance at 935, but my guess now is that Thursday’s 925 high marked the end of the rally. I think gold will soon drop to 600. 

SLV - December Silver: Resistance is at 1390. Next downside target is 900.   

Google: I am not very sure about Google’ technical position. I still think it has a good shot at 375 before it resumes its long term bullish trend.   

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