Tuesday, May 09, 2006

Guesstimates on May 9, 8:50 am ET

June S&P Futures: The market is headed for 1350.  Short term resistance is at 1335 while support is at 1320.

June Bonds: I think a move to 107-16 has started.

June 10 Year Notes: I think a move to 106-00 has started.

Euro-US Dollar: I don’t think the market will move much past 127.50 before beginning an extended drop. Short term support is at 126.45 and weakness below there will mean a big break has started. I think the next big move should carry from here to below 116.

Dollar-Yen: The market will probably continue down to  110.20 before a big move up begins. Resistance today is at 112.00.

June Crude: The  upside target at the 74.30 level, the 7 5/8 multiple of the all time low at 9.75, has been reached and I think the market is on its way below $60.

June Gold: Any drop below 675 support will indicate the start of a move below the 600 level. In the meantime resistance above the market is at 687.

July Silver: I think silver has started a move to 920 or so. Resistance above the market is at 1445.

Google: It looks like the drop from 455 is only the first phase of a three phase correction. I expect a rally into the 425-430 zone and then another drop to 360 or so. I still think GOOG will make it to 495 before it drops below 331.

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