Thursday, March 05, 2009

Guesstimates on March 5, 2009

March S&P  E-mini Futures: I think today’s day session will again show a 25 point range. I estimate the low at 675. I believe this market is stabilizing after a 23% drop in four weeks. It would take a high volume move above the 725 level to indicate that a move to 800 and above is underway.

 QQQ: The 26.00 level is now support and from there I think the Q’s will start a move to 35.00.  

June Bonds: I think the long term trend in the bond market is now definitely downward. Next downside target is 117.  

June 10 Year Notes: I think a bear market in the notes is underway. Next downside target is 118.

Euro-US Dollar: The euro is headed down to 122.50.

Dollar-Yen: The yen has nearly reached the 100.00 level. There is as yet no indication that the move up from 87.00 is over, so I now estimate that the yen will reach 104.00 before a substantial reaction begins.   

April Crude: The 30-35 zone is long term support. I think the market will start stabilizing. The next big move should be a rally to 50.

GLD – April Gold: Gold shows support in the 900-10 zone and should soon resume its move to 1100.

SLV - May Silver: I now think silver is headed for 1750. Support is at 1240.  

Google: I think that its drop from 747 is over. 

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Wow! 675! So basically, you are anticipating that the top of the range is going to be close the opening price...

Anonymous said...

wow carl futi-oh check out the huge green volume at ES

Anonymous said...

A couple of charts to ponder. The lower one is a monthly of the Dow and it sits right on a trendline from back to 1987. The other a daily and the lower trendline from the October and November lows is about Dow 6500.. Both are major support
(click here to see charts, and click
on chart to enlarge
)