Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Guesstimates on September 30, 2015



December S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 1887-1915. As long as 1915 resistance holds the ES is probably headed back to its August low of 1823. Even so, I still think that the next sustained move in the ES will be upward out of this 1823-2011 trading range.
QQQ:  I think that a bull market correction ended at the August 24 low of 84. Upside target is now 120.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market yield is headed up to 3.00%.
Euro-US Dollar:  The market hit resistance at 1.17 and is now headed lower. Downside target is 0.96 over the coming months.
Dollar-Yen: Support is at 116. The bull market has much further to go over the coming months. 140-45 is my longer term target zone while 127-28 is near term resistance.
November Crude:  Support is 35. Resistance above the market is at 50.
December Gold:  Resistance above the market is 1170.
December Silver: I think the bear market in silver may be over. If so support is at 13.50.
Google:  In now think GOOG will hold support at 620 on any break and then resume its bull market.
Apple:  AAPL reached its 95 target and is now headed higher. Temporary resistance now is at 118-120.
Facebook: Support is still at 80.
Twitter: TWTR is headed for 18.
Alibaba: The next downside target is 50 and 75 is still resistance.
Visa: Support at 63 held and I think Visa is headed higher.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Guesstimates on September 29, 2015



December S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 1861-86. Yesterday the ES dropped significantly below its September 1 low at 1890. I think this means that the market is headed back to its August low of 1823. Even so, I still think that the next sustained move in the ES will be upward out of this 1823-2011 trading range.
QQQ:  I think that a bull market correction ended at the August 24 low of 84. Upside target is now 120.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market yield is headed up to 3.00%.
Euro-US Dollar:  The market hit resistance at 1.17 and is now headed lower. Downside target is 0.96 over the coming months.
Dollar-Yen: Support is at 116. The bull market has much further to go over the coming months. 140-45 is my longer term target zone while 127-28 is near term resistance.
November Crude:  Support is 35. Resistance above the market is at 50.
December Gold:  Resistance above the market is 1170.
December Silver: I think the bear market in silver may be over. If so support is at 13.50.
Google:  In now think GOOG will hold support at 620 on any break and then resume its bull market.
Apple:  AAPL reached its 95 target and is now headed higher. Temporary resistance now is at 118-120.
Facebook: Support is still at 80.
Twitter: TWTR is headed for 18.
Alibaba: The next downside target is 50 and 75 is still resistance.
Visa: Support at 63 held and I think Visa is headed higher.

Monday, September 28, 2015

Guesstimate on September 28, 2015



December S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 1890-1916. I still think that the August 24 low at 1823 ended the drop from the May-July tops. However a drop below 1890 would mean that the ES will first revisit 1823.
QQQ:  I think that a bull market correction ended at the August 24 low of 84. Upside target is now 120.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market yield is headed up to 3.00%.
Euro-US Dollar:  The market hit resistance at 1.17 and is now headed lower. Downside target is 0.96 over the coming months.
Dollar-Yen: Support is at 116. The bull market has much further to go over the coming months. 140-45 is my longer term target zone while 127-28 is near term resistance.
November Crude:  Support is 35. Resistance above the market is at 50.
December Gold:  Resistance above the market is 1170.
December Silver: I think the bear market in silver may be over. If so support is at 13.50.
Google:  In now think GOOG will hold support at 620 on any break and then resume its bull market.
Apple:  AAPL reached its 95 target and is now headed higher. Temporary resistance now is at 118-120.
Facebook: Support is still at 80.
Twitter: TWTR is headed for 18.
Alibaba: The next downside target is 50 and 75 is still resistance.
Visa: Support at 63 held and I think Visa is headed higher.