Monday, August 01, 2016

Guesstimates on August 1, 2016

September S&P E-mini Futures: The swing up from the Brexit low is likely to carry into the 2250-2300 zone. Support today is still at 2168. If that fails the ES will head back down to support in the 2153-57 zone.
QQQ:  The 112 resistance is giving way. Next upside target is 120. Support is at 108.
TNX (ten year note yield): The market briefly dropped below the 2012 low yield of 1.39% but I think a substantial advance in yields is now underway.
Euro-US Dollar: I still think that the ECB’s QE policy will ultimately drop the Euro below par.
Dollar-Yen: A bear market is underway. Resistance is 104-106. Next downside target is 95.
August Crude: Crude is in a bull market. Next upside target is 55. Support is at 40-41.
December Gold:  A bull market is underway in gold. Support is now at 1280. Next upside target is 1420.
September Silver: Silver exceeded the 20.00 target by more than a dollar. Next upside target is 25.00. Support now is at 18.00.
Google: Support is 675.
Apple:  I still think the bull market in APPL is intact. However should AAPL start spending time below 90 I think continuation down to 70 will become likely.  
Facebook: Upside target of 125-27 was reached and exceeded on earnings news. Support is at 120. Next upside target is 145.
Twitter: The 18-20 zone looks like a barrier to the current rally.
Alibaba: Now headed back to 86-90.
Visa: Support is at 70. Upside target is 90-95.

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