September S&P E-mini Futures: The ES is swinging up and down in the
2412-2443 zone. How long this sideways action will last is anyone’s guess. There
is strong support in the 2401-05 zone and I don’t think a drop below 2412 will
carry further than that. The ES will trade
at 2500 and above later this year.
QQQ: Short term support is
at 136. This average is headed for 150.
TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield has dropped visibly
below its 200 day moving average yesterday. The market is concerned about the
deflationary effects of shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet. Should the 10 year
yield stay below this moving average I think the US stock market will be
vulnerable to a drop of 10-15% because of these balance sheet concerns.
Euro-US Dollar: The ECB’s QE policy will ultimately drop
the Euro below par. The 113-117 zone is long term resistance.
Dollar-Yen: A new bull market is underway. Support now
is at 108. Upside target is 126-27 then 136
West Texas Crude Oil: Crude is in a bull market. Support
remains at 45, Next upside target is 62.
August Gold: Next
resistance is at 1305. I still think Gold is headed back to its 1035 low.
July Silver: Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.
Google: Upside target at 1010 is nearby but the bull market is still
going strong. Next upside target will be 1070. Support is at 900.
Apple: AAPL
is on its way to 162. Support is at 144.
Facebook: Support at 140. Next upside target is 160.
Twitter: Resistance at 20 is likely to stop any rally. A move back
above that level would have longer term bullish implications. Until then TWTR
is headed for 10.00.
Alibaba: I think BABA will have a hard time moving past 145-48 without
a 15-20 point drop first. Support is 125
Visa: Next upside target is 105. Support is at 90.
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