Thursday, September 28, 2017

Guesstimates on September 28, 2017

December S&P E-mini Futures: Support today is at 2497. If it holds then the ES will resume its advance to the 2529-31 zone. If it fails a drop to 2476 will probably follow. In either case the market is likely to reach the 2578 target by the end of 2017.
QQQ:  Short term support is at 136. This average is headed for 150.
TNX (ten year note yield): If the 10 year yield can stay above the 2.15% level then I think deflationary fears have been put aside and the trend upward to a 3.00% yield will continue.  
Euro-US Dollar: Upside target is 122 while support is at 117. I think the rise in the Euro represents an effective tightening in Euro zone monetary conditions. This is good reason to expect the ECB to continue its QE policy. If the ECB does not it will drive a nail into the coffin of the 9 year bull market in world stock markets.
Dollar-Yen: A new bull market is underway. Support is at 108. Upside target is 126-27 then 136
West Texas Crude Oil: Crude is headed back to 55 and support is at 45.
Gold:  Support at 1290 is wobbling but hasn’t failed yet. If it does then gold will continue down to 1215.
Silver: Resistance is at 18.50. Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.
Google: Upside target at 1010 was nearly reached but the bull market is still going strong. Next upside target will be 1070. Support is at 900.
Apple:  AAPL reached its 162 target. Support still is at 144. Next upside target is 182.
Facebook: FB got within 2 points of the upside target at 180. I think FB will have a hard time moving much past that level for a while. Meantime support is at 160.
Twitter: Resistance at 20 is likely to stop any rally. A move back above that level would have longer term bullish implications. Until then TWTR is headed for 10.00.
Alibaba: BABA has reached resistance at 178-80. Support remains at 160. Next upside target is 199.
Visa: V has made it up to and past the 103 target. There is pretty strong resistance in the 106-08 zone. Support remains in the 89-90 zone.

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