Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Guesstimates on January 31, 2018

March S&P E-mini Futures:  Support below the market is at 2800. It looks like a trading range of 80 points and lasting a couple of weeks or so from the high at 2878 has begun. Even so there are no signs of an important top. Unless such signs emerge I think the ES will climb upward to 3100 or so over the next few months.  
QQQ:  The average has reached 168 and is headed for 178-80. Support is at 164. TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield is on its way to the next upside target at 2.95%. Paradoxically this is good news for the stock market because it means that confidence in future growth is being restored. This in turn means that investors will try to put the huge supply of central bank liquidity to work in risky assets. This process will drive world wide stock market prices higher.
Euro-US Dollar: The Euro has nearly reached the 126target.  Support now is at 122.50.
Dollar-Yen: A bull market is underway. Support is at 108. Upside target is 126-27 then 136
West Texas Crude Oil: The upside target at 63 has become support. Next upside target is 70.
Gold:  The 1295 resistance level is now support. Upside target is 1390.
Silver: Resistance is at 18.50. Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.
Google: Support now is at 1080. Next upside target is 1195.
Apple:   Support is now 165. APPL is probably headed for 195 after the current reaction ends.
Facebook:  Support is at 170 and the upside target is 200.
Twitter: Support is now 21-22. As long as it holds TWTR is headed for 34-36. Alibaba: Support is now 180. Upside target at 199 has been reached. Next step up should carry to 210.
Visa: Upside target at 120 has been reached but there is no sign of a top. Next target is 127.

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