Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Guesstimates on September 15, 2020


December S&P E-mini Futures:  The drop from the 3587 carried the ES down 292 points but I don’t think it is over. As long as the ES doesn’t move up much past 3430 a still bigger drop to the vicinity of 3000 is likely. That said, this is still a bull market. The Fed’s QE program is very bullish long term and the Corona Crisis has passed its peak. There will be no more shutdowns. The 2174 low will hold for several years and the ES is likely to trade well above 4000 by the end of 2021.

QQQ:  Support is 269 while next upside target is 325.

TNX (ten year note yield): There is a good chance that the 0.40% level was the low yield of this nearly 40 year decline in bond yields and that yields will soon start a long march into higher ground.

Euro-US Dollar: A swing up to 125.00 is likely.

Dollar-Yen: Still confined within a 101-115 trading range.

West Texas Crude Oil: A bull market is in progress. Upside target is 44 was reached. Support is now 35. Next upside target is 50-55.

Gold: Upside target is still 2150. Support is 1850.

Silver:  Support is 25.00 and next upside target is 31.00.

Google: Next step up will be to 1750. Meantime support is 1450.

Apple: The 110 level is support. Next upside target will be 145.

Amazon: Next upside target is 3700. Support is 2500.

Facebook:  Upside target at 290 has been reached. Support is at 270 has been reached but a bigger drop to 250 is likely.

Twitter: Upside target 75.

Alibaba: BABA should find support near 250.

Visa: Upside target is 240.

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