Friday, March 24, 2006

Guesstimates on March 24 , 8:50 am ET

June S&P Futures: I still think the market will drop to 1297 or so and then move above 1320.

June Bonds: The bonds are headed downward. Resistance today is still at 111-08. I think the market is on its way into the 107-108 zone over the next few months.

June 10 Year Notes: The notes are headed downward from here. I think notes will reach 104 or so in a few months.

Cash US Dollar -Euro: A bounce from 119.60 is likely but probably will only be 100 points or so. This is still only the first phase of a drop from 122.07 and the third and final phase will probably reach 118.90. Once all three phases are complete I think the market will move to 125.00.

May Crude: I thought the rally would stop at 63.25 resistance but it went a full dollar higher.  Even so, the next significant move will be downward to 56.80-57.20. I think that over the next few months the market will drop to 52.00 or lower.

April Gold: I now think gold will only rally close to its February top at 579. It is acting noticeably weaker than silver so I think the bull market here is on its last legs.  

May Silver: I think that silver is headed  for 1095.  

Google: I expect support at 334 to hold and after that Google should rally to 358 or higher. I am still convinced that continuation up to 405 and then to 495 is very likely.

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