Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Guesstimates on December 30, 2009

March S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate for the March contract is 1110-1120. So far the market has dropped about 15 points from its high of 1128.50 yesterday, but I think that this reaction will find support in the 1105-10 range before a move to 1140 develops. I also expect the market to reach the 1170 level during the next month or so.

QQQ: Upside target is 47.50.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this market has begun a move to 5.00%.

TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market has begun a swing up to 4.30%.

Euro-US Dollar: A drop to 140 is underway. My best guess is that 140 will be only temporary support and that the market will drop to 125 over the next couple of months.

Dollar-Yen: The yen has moved above the 91.00 level and this means that a rally to 100.00 is underway.

February Crude: I think that crude is headed down to 50.00. Resistance is at 79.00.

GLD – February Gold: The longer term trend has turned downward. I expect gold to drop to 875 over the next few months. Resistance above the market is at 1125.

SLV - March Silver: I now think silver has started a down move that will carry it to 10.00 over the next few months.

Google: Next upside target is 660. Support remains at 565.

1 comment:

PM said...

Hi Carl,

A print below 1119.60 will trigger a sell signal for my model. Since the market has already traded below that price in the overnight market, the sell signal is now active. A close today below 1119.60 will be a confirmed this sell signal and will suggest that the trend for now is lower.

I would like to wish you and all your family a safe, prosperous, and healthy New Year. May all your dreams come true.


Kindest regards,