Wednesday, May 09, 2012

Guesstimates on May 9, 2012

June S&P E-mini Futures: The ES traded well below 1352.50 yesterday and again this morning so the drop Sunday night below the April 10 low was not a shakeout. The market is headed for 1320-30. From a low in that zone a rally to new bull market highs should begin.
QQQ:  Downside target is 62.50.          
TNX (ten year note yield):  The 10 year yield has drifted back into its recent multi-month trading range. I still think that the 10 year yield has started a move to  3.00%.  
Euro-US Dollar: The Euro has rejected the 1.3300 resistance level. The market is headed for 1.2600.
Dollar-Yen: The yen has decisively broken below support at 81.00. This means that the market is headed for 75 and lower.
June Crude: Support at 100 has been decisively broken. It looks like the market is headed  down to  75.   
GLD – June Gold:  Gold has reached the 1585 downside target. However I think the market will pay a visit to the vicinity of the September and December low points at 1544 and 1529 before another up leg starts.  
SLV - July Silver:  Support at 28.50 has been reached. But I now think the market will pay a visit to its December low at 26.27 before reversing.
Google: Google is now headed for its 2007 top near 750. Support is at 590.    
Apple: AAPL is headed for 520. From there  a move above the 644 high will start. 


buck said...

Plenty are saying if 1340 does not hold then a much larger drop is in store possibly in rather quick time.

Unknown said...

possible rally from 1325?
a remember too your message cncerning 3 peaks & a domed house

Moby Pixel said...

Hey Carl,
I'd be curious to hear your thoughts on the news surrounding the Facebook ipo. Marketwatch seems to have taken a mildly bearish tone on the matter.