Friday, October 11, 2013

Guesstimates on October 11, 2013

December S&P E-mini Futures:  Today's day session range estimate is 1681-1694. Yesterday’s strong rally moved both the cash S&P and the advance-decline line back above their 50 day moving averages.  I am interpreting this rally as a kick-off for a much bigger rally which will probably carry the S&P into the 1775-1800 range. Should these two indicators move back below their 50 day moving averages for a couple of days I will move back to the bearish side of the market. 
QQQ:  The Q’s have been much stronger than the other averages. Support is at 75. Upside target is still 86.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think the market will move to 3.50% over the next few months.
Euro-US Dollar: The Euro is headed for 1.4000.
Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen is headed for 107.00.
November Crude:  Crude has put in the biggest break since the April 2013 low. I think crude is headed back to that low at 86 and possibly lower than that.
December Gold:  The market is now headed below 1200.
December Silver: The market is now headed for 15.00.
Google: Support is at 800 and I think the next step up will carry GOOG to 975.
Apple:  The midpoint of the rally to 513 stands at 450. A close below 450 would mean that AAPL is headed below 385. In the meantime I will maintain my bullish stance.

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