Guesstimates on August 11, 2017

September S&P E-mini Futures: Resistance above the market now is at 2452. The ES is headed down to support in the 2402-12 zone. I suspect this is just the first leg down in a much bigger decline because volatility now appears to be trending upward from its recent historical lows.

QQQ:  Short term support is at 136. This average is headed for 150.

TNX (ten year note yield): If the 10 year yield can stay above the 2.15% level then I think deflationary fears have been put aside and the trend upward to a 3.00% yield will continue.  

Euro-US Dollar: Upside target is 122 while support is at 115. I think the rise in the Euro represents an effective tightening in Euro zone monetary conditions. This is good reason to expect the ECB to continue its QE policy. If the ECB does not it will drive a nail into the coffin of the 9 year bull market in world stock markets.

Dollar-Yen: A new bull market is underway. Support now is at 108. Upside target is 126-27 then 136

West Texas Crude Oil: Resistance at 48 has failed. Crude is now headed back to 55 and support is at 45.

December Gold:  Resistance is at 1305. I still think Gold is headed back to its 1035 low.

September Silver: Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.

Google: Upside target at 1010 was nearly reached but the bull market is still going strong. Next upside target will be 1070. Support is at 900.

Apple:  AAPL reached its 162 target. Support still is at 144.

Facebook: FB got within 2 points of the upside target at 180. I think FB will have a hard time moving much past that level for a while. Meantime support is at 160.

Twitter: Resistance at 20 is likely to stop any rally. A move back above that level would have longer term bullish implications. Until then TWTR is headed for 10.00.

Alibaba: BABA twice kissed the lower edge of the upside 160-65 target zone. A drop to support at 142 is probably now underway.

Visa: V only made it to 101 so far and a drop to support in the 87-90 zone is now underway.