Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Guesstimates on July 18, 2018

September S&P E-mini Futures:   The apparent failure of 2794 support yesterday morning was a false alarm and the subsequent rally moved the ES above the 2807-11 resistance zone I have been watching. The is more evidence in support of my longer term bullish hypothesis. I expect the rest of 2018 to be generally bullish and believe the ES has a good shot at 3100 by the end of the year.
QQQ: Support is 175 and the upside target is now 190.
TNX (ten year note yield): Support is at 2.70%. Next upside target is 3.40%. Rising interest rates are good news for the stock market because they signify that confidence in future growth is being restored. This in turn means that investors will try to put the huge supply of central bank liquidity to work in risky assets. This process will drive world wide stock market prices higher.
Euro-US Dollar: It is likely the Euro bear market has resumed. Ultimately it is likely to carry the Euro back down to its 103 low.
Dollar-Yen: A swing up to 117 is likely.
West Texas Crude Oil: Support is 65. The 72-74 zone is strong resistance and is likely to remain a barrier to still higher oil prices for several more weeks.
Gold:  The market is likely to find support in the 1210-15 range.  
Silver: Resistance is at 18.50. Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.
Google: GOOG is headed for 1250.
Apple:  AAPL is headed higher to 198 and above.
Facebook:  Upside target is 220.
Twitter: TWTR is stalling near 48 resistance. Support is at 36. I think TWTR has a good shot at returning to its historical high just below 75 by the end of the year.
Alibaba: BABA should rally to 215 and then to 250 over the coming weeks.
Visa: Headed for 145.

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