Thursday, September 29, 2016

Guesstimates on September 29, 2016



December S&P E-mini Futures: The ES should hold support at 2153. If it doesn’t then the market will be headed for support at 2124. If this latter level fails a drop well below 2100 will be underway. On the bullish side of the ledger general bullish sentiment is high enough to make a move above 2200 unlikely. I think that the 2200 level will be a ceiling until something happens to generate more pessimism.
QQQ:  It looks like the bull market has resumed. The 120 level is resistance.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think a substantial advance in yields is underway which should push the 10 year yield up to 2.50% or so.
Euro-US Dollar: I still think that the ECB’s QE policy will ultimately drop the Euro below par.
Dollar-Yen: A bear market is underway. Resistance is 104-106. Next downside target is 95.
November Crude: Crude is in a bull market. Support at 40-41. Next upside target is 56-58.
December Gold:  A bull market is underway in gold. Support is now at 1280. Next upside target is 1420.
December Silver: Silver exceeded the 20.00 target by more than a dollar. Next upside target is 25.00. Support now is at 18.00.
Google: Support is 675. Upside target is 880.
Apple:  I still think the bull market in APPL is intact. However should AAPL start spending time below 90 I think continuation down to 70 will become likely.  
Facebook: Support is at 120. Next upside target is 145.
Twitter: Twitter is attempting a breakout from its recent 6 month trading range. Breakout support is at 20 and if this level holds TWTR will be headed for 25 and then for 36.
Alibaba: Support is now at 98. Next upside target is 125.
Visa: Support is at 70. Upside target is 90-95.

Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Guesstimates on September 28, 2016



December S&P E-mini Futures: The ES has held well above 2124 support so far and a move back above 2156 will mean that the market is headed for 2172 and then for 2200. Given the general bullish sentiment I think that the 2200 level will be a ceiling until something happens to generate more pessimism.
QQQ:  It looks like the bull market has resumed. The 120 level is resistance.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think a substantial advance in yields is underway which should push the 10 year yield up to 2.50% or so.
Euro-US Dollar: I still think that the ECB’s QE policy will ultimately drop the Euro below par.
Dollar-Yen: A bear market is underway. Resistance is 104-106. Next downside target is 95.
November Crude: Crude is in a bull market. Support at 40-41. Next upside target is 56-58.
December Gold:  A bull market is underway in gold. Support is now at 1280. Next upside target is 1420.
December Silver: Silver exceeded the 20.00 target by more than a dollar. Next upside target is 25.00. Support now is at 18.00.
Google: Support is 675. Upside target is 880.
Apple:  I still think the bull market in APPL is intact. However should AAPL start spending time below 90 I think continuation down to 70 will become likely.  
Facebook: Support is at 120. Next upside target is 145.
Twitter: Twitter is attempting a breakout from its recent 6 month trading range. Breakout support is at 20 and if this level holds TWTR will be headed for 25 and then for 36.
Alibaba: Support is now at 98. Next upside target is 125.
Visa: Support is at 70. Upside target is 90-95.

Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Guesstimates on September 27, 2016



December S&P E-mini Futures: The debate rally halted halfway back to the 2172.75 top and now the ES is headed for support at 2124. I plan to say bullish as long as the 2124 level holds. But even then I think the upside will be limited to 2200 or so.
QQQ:  It looks like the bull market has resumed. The 120 level is resistance.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think a substantial advance in yields is underway which should push the 10 year yield up to 2.50% or so.
Euro-US Dollar: I still think that the ECB’s QE policy will ultimately drop the Euro below par.
Dollar-Yen: A bear market is underway. Resistance is 104-106. Next downside target is 95.
November Crude: Crude is in a bull market. Support at 40-41. Next upside target is 56-58.
December Gold:  A bull market is underway in gold. Support is now at 1280. Next upside target is 1420.
December Silver: Silver exceeded the 20.00 target by more than a dollar. Next upside target is 25.00. Support now is at 18.00.
Google: Support is 675. Upside target is 880.
Apple:  I still think the bull market in APPL is intact. However should AAPL start spending time below 90 I think continuation down to 70 will become likely.  
Facebook: Support is at 120. Next upside target is 145.
Twitter: Twitter is attempting a breakout from its recent 6 month trading range. Breakout support is at 20 and if this level holds TWTR will be headed for 25 and then for 36.
Alibaba: Support is now at 98. Next upside target is 125.
Visa: Support is at 70. Upside target is 90-95.