Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Guesstimates on March 28, 2017



June S&P E-mini Futures:  The market surprised me yesterday by recovering above 2327-31 support. If the ES can stay above that support then a move to and above 2400 will be underway. But if that support fails again then I think the market will continue down to the 2240-60 zone before it begins a new up trend which will take it above 2400.
QQQ:  The March 2000 top at 120.50 is long term support. Shorter term support is now at 126.00. This average should move generally higher in 2017.
TNX (ten year note yield): Support in the 10 year note yield is at 2.25%. Next upside targets will be 2.85%  and then 3.40%. The 10 year yield is well above its 200 day moving average which suggests that a sustained rise in yields is underway. I think this paradoxically is a very bullish omen for world stock markets.
Euro-US Dollar: The ECB’s QE policy will ultimately drop the Euro below par.
Dollar-Yen: A new bull market is underway. Support now is at 111-12. Upside target is 126-27 then 136
West Texas Crude Oil: Crude is in a bull market. The 56-58 upside target has been reached. Support remains at 45, Next upside target is 62.
April Gold:  Resistance is at 1260. Gold is headed back to its 1035 low.
May Silver: Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.
Google: Support is 675. Upside target is 880.
Apple:  I still think the bull market in APPL is intact. AAPL is on its way to 145.
Facebook: Support at 120. Next upside target is 145.
Twitter: Breakout resistance at 20 is likely to stop any rally. TWTR is headed for 10.00.
Alibaba: The 85-90 zone is strong support and I expect BABA to swing up to 125.
Visa: Support is at 70. Upside target is 90-95.

Monday, March 27, 2017

Guesstimates on March 27, 2017



June S&P E-mini Futures:  It looks like support in the 2327-31 zone has failed. This means that the ES is now headed down to support in the 2240-60 zone. I still think the market will move well above 2400 after the drop from the March 1 top is complete.
QQQ:  The March 2000 top at 120.50 is long term support. Shorter term support is now at 126.00. This average should move generally higher in 2017.
TNX (ten year note yield): Support in the 10 year note yield is at 2.25%. Next upside targets will be 2.85%  and then 3.40%. The 10 year yield is well above its 200 day moving average which suggests that a sustained rise in yields is underway. I think this paradoxically is a very bullish omen for world stock markets.
Euro-US Dollar: The ECB’s QE policy will ultimately drop the Euro below par.
Dollar-Yen: A new bull market is underway. Support now is at 111-12. Upside target is 126-27 then 136
West Texas Crude Oil: Crude is in a bull market. The 56-58 upside target has been reached. Support remains at 45, Next upside target is 62.
April Gold:  Resistance is at 1260. Gold is headed back to its 1035 low.
May Silver: Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.
Google: Support is 675. Upside target is 880.
Apple:  I still think the bull market in APPL is intact. AAPL is on its way to 145.
Facebook: Support at 120. Next upside target is 145.
Twitter: Breakout resistance at 20 is likely to stop any rally. TWTR is headed for 10.00.
Alibaba: The 85-90 zone is strong support and I expect BABA to swing up to 125.
Visa: Support is at 70. Upside target is 90-95.

Friday, March 24, 2017

Guesstimates on March 24, 2017



June S&P E-mini Futures:  The drop from the March 1 top at 2397.50 should end in the 2327-2331 support zone.  In the mean time resistance is at 2357. The up swing from the 2327-31 zone is likely to carry the ES above 2400. The market is on its way above 2500 later this year.
QQQ:  The March 2000 top at 120.50 is long term support. Short term support is now at 128.00. Next upside target is 134. This average should move generally higher in 2017.
TNX (ten year note yield): Support in the 10 year note yield is at 2.25%. Next upside targets will be 2.85%  and then 3.40%. The 10 year yield is well above its 200 day moving average which suggests that a sustained rise in yields is underway. I think this paradoxically is a very bullish omen for world stock markets.
Euro-US Dollar: The ECB’s QE policy will ultimately drop the Euro below par.
Dollar-Yen: A new bull market is underway. Support now is at 111-12. Upside target is 126-27 then 136
West Texas Crude Oil: Crude is in a bull market. The 56-58 upside target has been reached. Support remains at 45, Next upside target is 62.
April Gold:  Resistance is at 1260. Gold is headed back to its 1035 low.
May Silver: Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.
Google: Support is 675. Upside target is 880.
Apple:  I still think the bull market in APPL is intact. AAPL is on its way to 145.
Facebook: Support at 120. Next upside target is 145.
Twitter: Breakout resistance at 20 is likely to stop any rally. TWTR is headed for 10.00.
Alibaba: The 85-90 zone is strong support and I expect BABA to swing up to 125.
Visa: Support is at 70. Upside target is 90-95.