Thursday, October 31, 2019

Guesstimates on October 31, 2019


December S&P E-mini Futures: The ES has rallied as high as 3055. Powell yesterday said there will be no rate increases unless inflation first goes significantly higher. This is a definite change in Fed policy and is very bullish. Much higher prices are likely during the coming months. The Lindsay basic advance which started from the December low remains intact and is likely to last two years and carry the ES to 3500 or so.
QQQ: I think that this index is headed for 230-240 during the next 18 months.
TNX (ten year note yield): 1.60% is now support.. I think the fast move up from 1.45% was the start of a big up swing in yield. This is likely to carry the 10 year yield first to 3.24% and then to 5.00 %. Contrary to popular belief higher yields will be bullish for stock prices since they will indicate confidence that more and stronger economic growth lies ahead.
Euro-US Dollar: Resistance above the market is 115.50. The longer term picture is bearish.
Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen is trying to recover support at 108.00. If it succeeds then continuation up to 121 is likely. If it fails a drop to 100 will continue.
West Texas Crude Oil: A swing down to 49 is underway. Resistance is at 57.
Gold: Strong resistance level is 1515. A drop to 1400 is a reasonable expectation with even lower prices a good possibility.
Silver: Support is at 16.50. If it fails a drop to 12.50 will be underway.
Google: Support now is 1210. Next upside target is 1350.
Apple: AAPL is headed for 250.
Facebook:  Support is at 166 and resistance is 198.
Twitter: The 28 level is support and if it fails continuation down to 13 becomes likely.
Alibaba: BABA is starting to act as if a breakout above the 180 resistance level is imminent. If it occurs then BABA will be headed for new bull market highs.
Visa: Support is at 160-62. V is now headed for 200.

Wednesday, October 30, 2019

Guesstimates on October 30, 2019


December S&P E-mini Futures: The ES established a new historical high yesterday. The market is likely to churn sideways for a while before heading higher. Much higher prices are likely during the coming months. The Lindsay basic advance which started from the December low remains intact and is likely to last two years and carry the ES to 3500 or so.
QQQ: I think that this index is headed for 230-240 during the next 18 months.
TNX (ten year note yield): 1.60% is now support.. I think the fast move up from 1.45% was the start of a big up swing in yield. This is likely to carry the 10 year yield first to 3.24% and then to 5.00 %. Contrary to popular belief higher yields will be bullish for stock prices since they will indicate confidence that more and stronger economic growth lies ahead.
Euro-US Dollar: Resistance above the market is 115.50. The longer term picture is bearish.
Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen is trying to recover support at 108.00. If it succeeds then continuation up to 121 is likely. If it fails a drop to 100 will continue.
West Texas Crude Oil: A swing down to 49 is underway. Resistance is at 57.
Gold: Strong resistance level is 1515. A drop to 1400 is a reasonable expectation with even lower prices a good possibility.
Silver: Support is at 16.50. If it fails a drop to 12.50 will be underway.
Google: Support now is 1210. Next upside target is 1350.
Apple: AAPL is headed for 250.
Facebook:  Support is at 166 and resistance is 198.
Twitter: TWTR broke badly on earning news. The 28 level is support and if it fails continuation down to 13 becomes likely.
Alibaba: BABA is starting to act as if a breakout above the 180 resistance level is imminent. If it occurs then BABA will be headed for new bull market highs.
Visa: Support is at 160-62. V is now headed for 200.

Tuesday, October 29, 2019

Guesstimates on October 29, 2019


December S&P E-mini Futures: The ES established a new historical high yesterday. The market is likely to churn sideways for a while before heading higher. Much higher prices are likely during the coming months. The Lindsay basic advance which started from the December low remains intact and is likely to last two years and carry the ES to 3500 or so.
QQQ: I think that this index is headed for 230-240 during the next 18 months.
TNX (ten year note yield): 1.60% is now support.. I think the fast move up from 1.45% was the start of a big up swing in yield. This is likely to carry the 10 year yield first to 3.24% and then to 5.00 %. Contrary to popular belief higher yields will be bullish for stock prices since they will indicate confidence that more and stronger economic growth lies ahead.
Euro-US Dollar: Resistance above the market is 115.50. The longer term picture is bearish.
Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen is trying to recover support at 108.00. If it succeeds then continuation up to 121 is likely. If it fails a drop to 100 will continue.
West Texas Crude Oil: A swing down to 49 is underway. Resistance is at 57.
Gold: Strong resistance level is 1515. A drop to 1400 is a reasonable expectation with even lower prices a good possibility.
Silver: Support is at 16.50. If it fails a drop to 12.50 will be underway.
Google: Support now is 1210. Next upside target is 1350.
Apple: AAPL is headed for 250.
Facebook:  Support is at 166 and resistance is 198.
Twitter: TWTR broke badly on earning news. The 28 level is support and if it fails continuation down to 13 becomes likely.
Alibaba: BABA is starting to act as if a breakout above the 180 resistance level is imminent. If it occurs then BABA will be headed for new bull market highs.
Visa: Support is at 160-62. V is now headed for 200.