Spiders - September S&P Futures: Short term resistance still stands at 1460 and I think a drop to 1400 or so will develop before a move to new bull market highs begins. Spider resistance is 146.00 and support is 140.00.
QQQQ: Short term resistance in the Q’s stands at 47.00. Support is at 45.00. Later this year the Q’s will go to new bull market highs.
TLT - September Bonds: I think an extended drop all the way down to 103 has started. The 110-28 level is still resistance and the next short term support is at 108-08. TLT shows strong resistance near 87.50 and should soon begin a drop to 80-81.
September 10 Year Notes: I looks like the notes have a shot at 109-28 before they begin a drop to 102 or so.
Euro-US Dollar: Resistance above the market stands at 136.00. Short term support stands near 133.00. I think this market is headed to 126.00 and eventually lower than that..
Dollar-Yen: The yen should encounter resistance at 115.20 then drop to 110.50. Looking ahead several months I expect to see the 130 level late this year or early next.
XLE - OIH - USO – October Crude: It looks like crude oil has started a big move downward. The 66.00 level is the initial target but I think that the market will drop below 50.00 over the next 12 months. Both XLE and OIH are headed much lower. The 57.80 level looks like the ceiling for USO.
GLD - December Gold: I think gold has started a decline which will carry it to 500 and below.
SLV - September Silver: Silver has started a drop which will carry it below 900.
Google: I think support near 485 will hold and that a rally to 600 or higher will begin soon.
5 comments:
Hi Carl,
Enjoy your analysis. I think on SLV you mean it will drop below 90.
Mike
Hi there,
was just thinking of the point and figure chart you posted not so long ago. We moved down to 1.370, then up to 1.460 now. And no wonder getting to 1.470 is so tough, as it will produce a buy signal. Regardless of the buy signal, it is common for price to test the price from the top after having produced a sell signal, so we could move down to 1.400-1.410, as you argue. There also needs to be a falling trendline from the top at 1.550. I can't see where that hits price, but probably somewhere close to here, which again supports that we need a reversal of at least 3 boxes. Would appreciate if you could post an updated version of the point and figure chart.
Always enjoy reading your "stuff".
Kind regards from Andreas from Denmark
Carl,
I was just looking back at all the negative comments from Aug. 16. Where are all the SCREAMERS today?
Have a great day.
carl, are you still expecting the spx to pull back to 1400?
Carl,
When will you update your dome chart?
Joel
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