Friday, February 03, 2012

Guesstimates on February 3, 2012

March S&P E-mini Futures: Today's day session range estimate is 1329-1343. The longer term trend is upward. A rally from the November 25 low at 1147.50 which matches the size of the October rally would bring the ES to 1370.

QQQ: Headed for 63.

TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield has started a move to 2.50%.

Euro-US Dollar: The rally from 1.2623 should continue to 1.3540 before the market turns down once more. Meantime support is at 1.2940.

Dollar-Yen: The market is headed down to 70.00. Resistance above the market is at 80.00.

March Crude: An extended upswing is underway. It will probably take crude to 114 or so.

GLD – April Gold: I think gold will probably drop to 1510 or so and then begin a move to 2100.

SLV - March Silver: I think silver is headed for 50.00. Support is at 26.00.

Google: Google is now headed for its 2007 top near 750.

Apple: Upside target is now 475.


Tim- said...


what is your thoughts on aapl for its bull market top? you have had 475 as your upside target for a long time. will that just be a point where you would expect it to correct or will that be a long term top? I only ask because the earnings growth doesn't show much in the way of slowing but the multiple has been contracting which is alarming because that usually happens at a top.

AM said...

Carl, is there any reason why SLV goes to 50 while gold tanks to 1500? Is this some dirty market trick so that nobody would get it right?