Monday, October 15, 2018

Guesstimates on October 15, 2018

December S&P E-mini Futures: It looks like last week’s brief drop below the lower edge of the 2738-49 support zone was a shakeout. Resistance above the market is at 2829. If the ES can rally above that level then 2712 was the end of the drop from 2947. There is still a good chance of new bull market highs by the end of the year. The cover of the most recent issue of “TheEconomist” lends support to the bullish case.
QQQ: Support at 175 has failed. Next support of consequence is 166.
TNX (ten year note yield): Support remains at 2.70%. Next upside target is 3.50%. Rising interest rates are good news for the stock market because they signify that confidence in future growth is being restored. This in turn means that investors will try to put the huge supply of central bank liquidity to work in risky assets. This process will drive world wide stock market prices higher.
Euro-US Dollar: It is likely the Euro bear market has resumed. Ultimately it is likely to carry the Euro back down to its 103 low.
Dollar-Yen: A swing up to 117 is likely.
West Texas Crude Oil: Support is 65. The 72-74 zone was strong resistance but now is morphing into support. A rally past 76 will probably take crude up to 90.  
Gold: Resistance in the 1215-20 zone has failed and is now support. Upside target is 1265.
Silver: Silver is headed for 12.50 and possibly lower.
Google: Support is at 1060.  
Apple:  AAPL is headed for 250.
Facebook:  FB has support at 150. I think FB will move to new highs before this bull market is over.
Twitter: TWTR is headed back to 13 or below. A recovery back above 30 would be bullish.
Alibaba: Support at 145 failed but there is a good chance that BABA will make its low in the 130-135 zone.
Visa: Support still is 135.

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