Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Guesstimates on October 24, 2018

December S&P E-mini Futures: Yesterday the ES dropped to within two points of 2690 support. The big, fast rally which followed makes the brief excursion below the October 11 low at 2712.25 look like a shakeout. From this I conclude that the drop from the September 21 high at 2947 ended at yesterday’s 2692.25 low. Next resistance above the market is at 2804. New bull market highs are still likely by the end of the year.
QQQ: The drop from 187 probably ended at 167. Upside target is now 192.
TNX (ten year note yield): Support remains at 2.70%. Next upside target is 3.50%. Rising interest rates are good news for the stock market because they signify that confidence in future growth is being restored. This in turn means that investors will try to put the huge supply of central bank liquidity to work in risky assets. This process will drive world wide stock market prices higher.
Euro-US Dollar: It is likely the Euro bear market has resumed. Ultimately it is likely to carry the Euro back down to its 103 low.
Dollar-Yen: A swing up to 117 is likely.
West Texas Crude Oil: Support is 65. A rally past 76 will probably take crude up to 90.  
Gold: Resistance in the 1215-20 zone has failed and is now support. Upside target is 1265.
Silver: Silver is headed for 12.50 and possibly lower.
Google: Support is at 1060.  
Apple:  AAPL is headed for 250.
Facebook:  FB has support at 150. I think FB will move to new highs before this bull market is over.
Twitter: TWTR is headed back to 13 or below. A recovery back above 30 would be bullish.
Alibaba: Support at 145 failed but there is a good chance that BABA has made or will make its low in the 130-135 zone.
Visa: Support still is 135.

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