Spiders - December S&P E-mini Futures: Long the e-minis from 1421 but I am bringing the stop up to breakeven today. This entry was only 4 points from the low so I plan to stick with this trade for a few days and see what develops. Resistance above the market today is in the 1475-80 range. I think Wednesday’s low ended the break from the October 11 top and that the market is headed for new bull market highs.
QQQQ: The Q’s are headed for 56.00. Support is 48.85.
TLT - December Bonds: The market has reached 116-28 and I think a break of at least 5 points is imminent. TLT is headed for 85 once this rally is over.
December 10 Year Notes: Resistance is now at 114-08. From there the notes will probably drop about 5 points. .
Euro-US Dollar: I think the euro is about to establish a long-lasting top. The short term trend is still upward and will reverse only if support at 146.50 is broken decisively.
Dollar-Yen: The yen broke below support at 109.00 and this is a potentially bearish indication. However, I want to see how long the market trades below that level before I abandon my 130 long term target. I am expecting a powerful rally from current levels even if it does not carry the market above 124.
XLE - OIH - USO – December Crude: Crude has traded within a dollar of the $100 dollar level and I think a lot of sellers are about to come into this market and that crude will soon begin a substantial drop. Resistance above the market is at 99.50. Initial downside target is 74.00. USO should drop to 56, OIH to 160 and XLE to 60.
GLD - December Gold: I still think gold futures still have a good shot at the 873 level but the failure of the market to rally in line with crude oil is not a bullish development. Support is still at 780.
SLV - December Silver: Silver and gold have failed so far to rally in line with crude oil and I am starting to have doubts about the market’s ability to reach the 1650 level. Support is still at 1435.
Google: It looks like GOOG will rally to 685 and higher. Support is at 620.
3 comments:
Dear Carl,
With all the repect, you keep saying that the dollar will rally since 1.28!. and you never said why. I think you lost big time on that one. At least you should give more then 3 line to such mistake.
Take care and wr know that you can't be right always.
40/80 week cycle low should hit late December around the Bradley Date of December 22 (+/- 5 days)
This dominant cycle caused the June 2006 low (80 week) and the February 2007 lows (40 week)
SPX is still within a well defined down channel, taking longs here is definitely trading against the trend, but I wish those luck who are long.
As for me I'll be waiting for the next 40 week cycle low....waiting for cycle lows are always a good time for lesiure and research.
Sentiment indicators are on strong buy here, but I suspect they will continue into "extreme strong buy" territory of the elusive 4 1/2 year cycle low.
Carl:
It's a little disheartening to see you call an imminent rally to 'new' bull market highs. All this market does is slide like there is no tomorrow. Why don't you wait for a confirmation of such a move before trying to stick your neck out. You'll miss the first part of that move, but it's certainly better than losing to stop losses ... hope is not a strategy.
Post a Comment