Thursday, June 20, 2013

Guesstimates on June 20, 2013

September S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 1595-1617.  I think a drop to 1550 or so has begun.
QQQ:  Downside target is 70.00.  
TNX (ten year note yield): The first upside yield target for the 10 year is 2.50% and has nearly been reached. I think the market will move past this level to 2.85% or so and eventually reach 3.50% over the next few months.
Euro-US Dollar: The market has resumed its move up to 1.4000. Support is at 1.3080.
Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen should hold support at 94.50. The next upside target is 107.00.
August Crude:  As long as crude does not spend much time above 100 I will stick with my view that it is headed below 70.
August Gold:  I think gold is on its way to the next downside target at 1200-50. In any case there is strong resistance above the market in the 1520-30 breakout zone.  
July Silver: Initial downside target is 20.00 while resistance above the market is at 27.00.  
Google: Support is at 800 and I think the next step up will carry GOOG to 975.
Apple:  Next downside target is 350. Resistance is at 460.

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