Guesstimates on May 1, 2014

June S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 1871-1883. I believe the ES is headed above 1892. Should the market instead start accepting prices below 1850 I will conclude that it is headed for 1800 or lower.

QQQ:  Upside target is 95.00.

TNX (ten year note yield): I think the market will move to 3.50% over the next few months.

Euro-US Dollar: The euro is headed for 1.42.

Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen is headed for 107.00.

June Crude:  Crude spent several days trading mostly above 103 resistance but so far has not spent much time trading above its last high at 104.48. A close above that high would mean the market is headed for 111. In the meantime I am sticking with my bearish stance.

June Gold:  Resistance above the market is at 1320.Downside target is 1210.

July Silver: Resistance above the market is at 20.25. Silver is headed for 13.00.

Google:  Support at 538 has failed and is now resistance above the market. This makes a drop to 450-475 likely.

Apple:  AAPL traded as high as 599 yesterday, just below the lower edge of my 600-610 target zone. I think AAPL is likely to stall there and then drop back to 540-550.