Thursday, June 18, 2015

Guesstimates on June 18, 2105

September S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 2089-2106. At this juncture I think a move above 2106, the trading range high, is more likely that a drop below the trading range low at 2062. If the market does move above 2106 then I will conclude that new bull market highs like ahead.
QQQ:  Upside target is again 113.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market yield is headed up to 3.00%.
Euro-US Dollar:  It looks like resistance at 1.1250 has failed and this means that the Euro is headed for the 1.18-1.20 zone. It should then stall there and resume its bear market.
Dollar-Yen: Support is at 116. The bull market has much further to go over the coming months. 140-45 is my longer term target zone while 127 is near term resistance.
August Crude:  The longer term trend in oil prices is downward and should carry this market down close to the 2008 low at 33. Crude has bounced off 64 resistance and I think the market will head still lower.
August Gold:  The odds favor continuation downward to 1040 over the coming months. Resistance above the market is at 1215.
July Silver: I think silver is headed for 13.00.
Google:  I think the longer term trend is upward and expect GOOGL to hit 670.
Apple:  There is no reason for thinking the bull market is over. New upside target is 140 but 160 should not be far behind. Support is at 121.
Facebook: Upside target is 90. Support is 72.
Twitter: I still expect TWTR to move up to 70. Support is at 35.
Alibaba: BABA has moved down to support at 85. Weakness below there would mean that the market is headed for 70.  
Visa: Upside target is 72. Support is 63.

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