Thursday, November 09, 2017

Guesstimates on November 9, 2017



December S&P E-mini Futures:  Support is now a bit lower at 2572. It will probably hold and be followed by a swing up to 2600 and higher. I expect the bull market to continue for a few more months and move this average  possibly as high as 2860, before it ends.
QQQ:  Short term support is at 144.  I think this average is headed for 160 before a significant drop develops.
TNX (ten year note yield): If the 10 year yield can stay above the 2.15% level then I think deflationary fears have been put aside and the trend upward to a 3.00% yield will continue.  
Euro-US Dollar: Support at 117 has failed and is now resistance. Downside target is 112. The announced tapering in the pace of ECB bond buying is a long term bearish influence on world stock prices.
Dollar-Yen: A bull market is underway. Support is at 108. Upside target is 126-27 then 136
West Texas Crude Oil: Crude is headed for its next upside target at 63. Support now is at 49.
Gold:  The 1290 level is resistance. If it fails the ES is likely to continue up to 1390. Downside target is currently 1220.
Silver: Resistance is at 18.50. Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.
Google: Next upside target is 1070. Support is at 900.
Apple:   Support still is at 144. Next upside target is 182.
Facebook: FB moved as high as 188 after its latest earnings news. Support is at 170 and the upside target is 200.
Twitter: Resistance at 20 has failed and a high volume upside breakout from a one year trading range appears to be underway. Breakout support is 18. As long as it holds TWTR is headed for 34-36 with a temporary halt at 25 on the way up.
Alibaba: Support remains at 160. Next upside target is 199.
Visa: Upside target now is 120.

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