Thursday, September 12, 2019

Guesstimates on September 12, 2019


September S&P E-mini Futures: Trump announced a brief delay in tariff implementation last night. This drove the ES past the 3000-04 resistance zone which now has become support. Next resistance is 3025-29 but much higher prices are likely during the coming months. The Lindsay basic advance which started from the December low remains intact and is likely to last two years and carry the ES to 3500 or so.
QQQ: I think that this index is headed for 230-240 during the next 18 months.
TNX (ten year note yield): The 1.60% support level now appears to be acting as resistance. This means that the 10 year yield is probably headed for 1.35%, its all time low.
Euro-US Dollar: Resistance above the market is 115.50. The longer term picture is bearish.
Dollar-Yen: The Dollar-Yen support at 108.00 has failed. This means that a drop to 100 is underway.
West Texas Crude Oil: Resistance at 57 appears to be failing. If it does then a swing up into the 67-72 zone will become likely. 
Gold: Support is near 1490. Next upside target 1600-20.
Silver: Silver resistance failed and a breakout from a very long trading range has developed. Next upside target is 22.50.
Google: Support now is 1120. Next upside target is 1350.
Apple: AAPL is headed for 250.
Facebook:  Support is at 166 and resistance is 198.
Twitter: TWTR is on its way to its all time high at 74.
Alibaba: BABA is starting to act as if a breakout above the 180 resistance level is imminent. If it occurs then BABA will be headed for new bull market highs.
Visa: Support at 160-62 was not reached. V is now headed for 200.

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