Monday, April 21, 2008

Guesstimates on April 21, 8:00 am ET

Spiders - June S&P E-mini Futures: I think this market is on its way to 1410 and eventually to 1430-40 in a month or so. My e-mini stop is now at 1358, below the ½ retracement for the rally from 1325. Support is at 1365.

QQQ: A rally to 47.50 is underway.

TLT - June Bonds: I think the bonds are on the way down to 112. I think TLT will drop to 88.

June 10 Year Notes: I think the notes are on the way down to 112.

Euro-US Dollar: It looks like the euro is about to step up into the 1.61-1.62 zone, but I also think that the market is at strong, long term resistance and that the next move will be downward to 1.40.

Dollar-Yen: The yen is headed for 112.00. Support is now at 101.15.

XLE - OIH - USO – May Crude: I think 119.00 will be the next stop. Support in the mean time is at 106.00

GLD - June Gold: The market should be headed for the 750-80 range. Resistance is still at 940.

SLV - May Silver: It looks like the silver is headed for 1550 or so. The high at 1875 probably marked the end of the rally from 1632.

Google: Google now has support at 490. I think a big move upward is underway. Next short term upside target is 590.

2 comments:

Will Rahal said...

Carl,
I charted ratios of PPI components.
They are pointing to extreme levels associated with reversals for commodities. http://wrahal.blogspot.com/2008/04/stretched-to-limit.htmlSee

Anonymous said...

Carl,

your e-mini stop is a typo? S/B 1358, not 1458?