Tuesday, April 08, 2008

Guesstimates on April 8, 8:00 am ET

Spiders - June S&P E-mini Futures: The market nearly hit the short term target at 1390 yesterday and now is trading near the low end of the recent trading range which stands at 1359. The worst I see on the downside here is 1340 and there is an even chance that the 1359 low will hold. In either event the next upside target will be the 1430-40 range.

QQQ: A rally to 47.50 is underway.

TLT - June Bonds: Resistance is still at 120-20 and I think the bonds are on the way down to 112. I think TLT will drop to 88.

June 10 Year Notes: Resistance is at 120-00. I think the notes are on the way down to 112.

Euro-US Dollar: I still think the euro is heading for 149.00.

Dollar-Yen: It now looks like the low at 95.76 will hold. Next upside target is104.00. Support is at 99.00. T

XLE - OIH - USO – May Crude: Crude is trading a little more than $2 below its high at $111. I think that high will hold but even if it doesn’t the 112.50 level is the most I see on the upside before a break of $20-25 materializes.

GLD - June Gold: The market should be headed for the 750-80 range. Resistance is at 940.

SLV - May Silver: It looks like the silver is headed for 15.50 or so. Resistance is at 1840.

Google: Google still has support at 420 and I think the next big move will be upward. Short term upside target is 490.

1 comment:

BeautifulWorld.me said...

Good morning Carl,

We have a huge, huge pile of puts at major resistances.

Breaking above the current resistance will ignite a short covering fire.

Nevertheless, markets seem to be giving out put money... Will see what happens after the Fed min.

Good luck