Monday, October 22, 2012

Guesstimates on October 22, 2012

December S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate is 1416-1432. Friday's break was a high volume, wide range drop after a low volume, relatively narrow range rally. This is a warning that support in the 1420-25 range is likely to fail. If it does the prognosis will be for a drop which at least matches the size of the 157 point March-June drop earlier this year.
QQQ:  The QQQ is in a danger zone and I will key off the action of the S&P to determine if the up trend has been reversed.
TNX (ten year note yield): Bond yields are going much higher as the market begins to anticipate stronger economic growth. The first upside yield target for the 10 year is 2.50%.
Euro-US Dollar: The ECB and the Fed are following polices which will move the Euro to 1.40 or higher. Next resistance is 1.3350. Support is at 1.2750.
Dollar-Yen: This market is headed for 75 and lower. At some point the JCB will have to support the yen but this probably won't happen until the 75 level is reached.
December Crude: The market is now is on its way to the 110-115 zone. Support is at 90-91.
GLD – December Gold:   I think gold is headed for 2300.
SLV - December Silver: I think silver is headed above 50.00.
Google: Google broke support at 700 yesterday on the earnings news. There are several old tops in the 640-670 range which should be strong support for the next move up to 800 and higher.   
Apple:  I don't think this break will carry any lower than 610.

1 comment:

Tom and Marta said...

Talk about nailing the S&P range!