Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Guesstimates on December 14, 2010

March S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate for the March '11 contract is 1227-1240. I think the short term trend is still upward. Support is at 1225 and the next upside target is 1250 which is strong resistance. I think a drop of 50-75 points is imminent. Once it is complete the market will resume its advance to 1300.

QQQQ: Next upside target is at 55.00 and has nearly been reached.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): The 30 year bond yield is on its way to 5.40%.

TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield is headed for 4.50%.

Euro-US Dollar: I think the euro will be supported near 130 and from there will move up to 145.00.

Dollar-Yen: A drop into the 78.00 - 79.00 range is underway and I think an important low will form in that zone.

February Crude: I still think crude oil is headed for 50.00.

GLD – February Gold: A move to new highs is underway. 1450 is the next upside target.

SLV - March Silver: A move to new highs is underway. 31.00 is the upside target.

Google: The 540 level is support. A move that should take GOOG above 700 is underway.

Apple: Should reach 350 (at least) before the bull market ends. Support is at 265.

1 comment:

R said...

Volatility index is at historically low level. I think it is likely to stay at this level during the rest of Dec.

One way of interpreting it, is that the daily range of S&P 500 has compressed from its usual range 14-15 points to about 8 points now.

So your daily range estimate may have to be adjusted to either 1232-1240 or 1229-1237, depending on how you calculated your midpoint.