Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Guesstimates on April 10, 2013

June S&P E-mini Futures: Today's day session range estimate is 1560-74. I still think that a break of 10% and possibly more is likely before the ES can climb above the 1546-87 resistance zone by any significant amount.
QQQ:  Headed for 73.   
TNX (ten year note yield): Bond yields are going much higher as the market begins to anticipate stronger economic growth. The first upside yield target for the 10 year is 2.50%.
Euro-US Dollar: The euro has spent several days trading above its 20 day moving average and it looks like a swing to 1.40 has begun.
Dollar-Yen: I think this bull market has further to go, probably to 100-01.
May Crude:  As long as crude does not spend much time above 100 I will stick with my view that it is headed below 70.
June Gold:  Support is in the 1530-50 zone lows of this trading range
May Silver: Support is at 26.00.
Google: Now headed for 950.
Apple:  Longer term downside target is 350 and near term support is 390. Meantime resistance above the market is at 480.

1 comment:

George Rahal said...

Carl, with today's seeming break out.... I did a 5point, 3box reversal P&F chart of the last month of consolidation on SPX....with some room for interpretation the count across was 7 to 9 boxes. 1555 was the most populated row. 1540 was the based on which technique you use, you get a price target ranging from 1645 to 1690.

5*3*9= 135. Subtracted from 1555, if prices broke down instead of up, that would have matched your 10% correction target.

Do you have any thoughts on the targets based on a P&F chart such as this? (chart image: )