Thursday, May 07, 2015

Guesstimates on May 7, 2015

June S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 2057-2081. The ES will probably continue down to 2030-35. Any drop below the 200 day moving average at 2025 would be very bearish and suggest continuation down to 1800.
QQQ:  A drop to 103 is underway.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market is headed up to 3.00%.
Euro-US Dollar: The ECB’s quantitative easing program will drop the euro below 1.00 over the coming months. Resistance above the market is at 1.12 has been reached. I think the Euro will stall in this area and then resume its bear market.
Dollar-Yen: Support is at 116. The bull market has much further to go over the coming months. 140-45 is my longer term target zone.
June Crude:  The longer term trend in oil prices is downward and should carry this market down close to the 2008 low at 33. Crude has reached 62 resistance and I think the market will stall here and then head lower.
June Gold:  The odds favor continuation downward to 1040 over the coming months. Resistance above the market is at 1215.
July Silver: I think silver is headed for 13.00.
Google:  I think the longer term trend is upward and expect GOOGL to hit 670.
Apple:  There is no reason for thinking the bull market is over. New upside target is 140 but 160 should not be far behind. Support is at 121.
Facebook: Upside target is 90. Support is 72.
Twitter: I still expect TWTR to move up to 70. Support is at 35.
Alibaba: BABA is headed for 68. Resistance above the market is at 86.
Visa: Upside target is 72. Support is 63.

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