Monday, April 14, 2008

Guesstimates on April 14, 8:00 am ET

Spiders - June S&P E-mini Futures: The e-minis have dropped below 1340 support but I think the market will bounce today from the 1325 level and begin a rally to 1410. I expect to see prints in the 1430-40 range within a couple of months.

QQQ: A rally to 47.50 is underway.

TLT - June Bonds: Resistance is still at 120-20 and I think the bonds are on the way down to 112. I think TLT will drop to 88.

June 10 Year Notes: Resistance is at 120-00. I think the notes are on the way down to 112.

Euro-US Dollar: I still think the euro is heading for 149.00.

Dollar-Yen: It now looks like the low at 95.76 will hold. Next upside target is104.00. Support is at 99.00. T

XLE - OIH - USO – May Crude: Crude is hovering a little below 112.50 and I think that level will prove to be strong resistance. The next significant development should be a drop into the $85-90 range.

GLD - June Gold: The market should be headed for the 750-80 range. Resistance is still at 940.

SLV - May Silver: It looks like the silver is headed for 15.50 or so. Resistance is at 1840.

Google: Google now has support at 440 and I think a big move upward is underway. Next short term upside target is 515.

12 comments:

Anonymous said...
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Anonymous said...

Carl,
please wake up ,we are in a bear mkt. in dollar and stocks and bull mkt in gold and oil.
You have it mixed up ...

good luck
Tiger

Anonymous said...

SEll,Sell,Sell, Sell , Sell ....
the Hindenburg Omen is still valid and working so far.
Sell dollars and buy euros and chf.
The ES will drop another 10% by year-end.
Do not follow Carls forecast here, the only thing that is certain is that you will loose big time.

Anonymous said...

Carl,

You continue bullish and we seem to be in a trading range.

I do not see a bullish picture until the credit rates spread issue is resolved.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=.TEDSP:IND

http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/

If these remain or get worse I see a bad bear market. If they are fixed I think you will be proven correct.

Anonymous said...

we will not have a bull market until carl becomes a bear. are you actually trading?

Anonymous said...

where is the rally ??

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