Thursday, May 07, 2009

Guesstimates on May 7, 2009

June S&P  E-mini Futures: The e-minis have rallied as high as 929 in electronic trading this morning. I am now estimating today’s day session range as 915-935. The market is approaching the January top at 942 and midpoint resistance at 952.  I don’t think it will get past these levels without first breaking 50 points or so.

QQQ: Support is still at 34.00. Next upside target is 39.90.   

June Bonds: I don’t think the longer term bearish picture has changed. Next downside target is 115.  

June 10 Year Notes: I think a bear market in the notes is underway. Next downside target is 118.

Euro-US Dollar: The euro moved above 133.35 resistance and this means that it is headed up to 140.00.  

Dollar-Yen: Then yen is headed for the 104.00 level.  Support stands at 95.55.  

June Crude: Crude has reached resistance in the 58-59 range. A drop to support near 54.00 would be normal. I think the market has a good shot at 64.00.

GLD – June Gold: I think the market is headed below 700. Resistance above the market is now at 945.

SLV - July Silver: Silver is headed for 750. Resistance is at 1450.

Google: Support is at 360. Next upside target is 450. 

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