Friday, July 05, 2013

Guesstimates on July 5, 2013

September S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 1610-1626. The ES bounced off its .618 retracement level this morning after the employment news. I think it is now headed for 1500.
QQQ:  Downside target is 70.00 has been reached but there is still no sign of a low. Next support is 66.50.  
TNX (ten year note yield): The upside yield target for the 10 year is 2.85 % but I think the market will move past this level to 3.50% over the next few months.
Euro-US Dollar: Support at 1.2950 was broken decisively on the ECB interest rate guidance. I now think the market is headed for 1.2400.  
Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen has held support at 94.50. The next upside target is 107.00.
August Crude:  Resistance above the market is at 103. As long as crude does not spend much time above 100 I will stick with my view that it is headed below 70.
August Gold:  Gold has dropped a little below the 1200-50 target zone. There is short term support near 1160 and I think a rally of$200-300 is like to start soon.    
September Silver: Initial downside target is 20.00 has been reached and exceeded. The 18.00 level is now support and I expect a rally to 24.00 or so to begin soon.
Google: Support is at 800 and I think the next step up will carry GOOG to 975.
Apple:  Next downside target is 350. Resistance is at 460.

1 comment:

Joshua said...

Kinda surprised you haven't mentioned the very large H&S in Eur/USD Daily. Been looking for a move to 1.21, think we are finally confirming that move.