Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Guesstimates on January 18, 2011

March S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate is 1282-1294. By the end of April I expect this market will have traded at 1350.

QQQQ: I think the market will rally to 58.50.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): The 30 year bond yield is on its way to 5.40%.

TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield is headed for 4.50%.

Euro-US Dollar: I think the euro will soon begin a move up to 145.00.

Dollar-Yen: A drop into the 78.00 - 79.00 range is underway and I think an important low will form in that zone.

February Crude: I still think crude oil is headed for 50.00. The 91.50 level is strong resistance because it is the midpoint of the 2008 drop from 147.80 to 35.00.

GLD – February Gold: A move to new highs is underway. 1495 is the next upside target.

SLV - March Silver: The upside target at 31.00 has been reached but there is still no sign of a top. Next upside target is 36.00.

Google: The 540 level is support. A move that should take GOOG above 700 is underway.

Apple: Nearly reached the 350 target Friday. The break on the Jobs health news is of little long term significance. Next upside target is 375. Support is at 310.

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