Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Guesstimates on April 4, 2012

June S&P E-mini Futures: Today's day session range estimate is again 1386-1401. The market will probably drop to 1385 or so. After that the next development will be a rally to the May 2008 top at 1442.

QQQ: Next upside target is 69.10. Support is now at 63.50.

TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield has broken out to the upside from a narrow, multi-month trading range and has taken a peek above its declining 200 day moving average. I think this is a genuine breakout. It is telling us that the US economic growth is about to accelerate and this is a very bullish longer term development for the stock market. The 10 year yield has started a move to 3.00%.

Euro-US Dollar: It looks like the Euro is rejecting the 1.3300 resistance level. The market is headed for 1.2600.

Dollar-Yen: Support is at 81.00. I think the market is headed for 85.00 and eventually will move to 90.00. This is a good sign for worldwide equity markets because it means that the Japanese central bank is trying to raise the growth rate of Japanese nominal national income and will probably succeed.

May Crude: An extended upswing is underway. It will probably take crude to 114 or so.

GLD – June Gold: Gold will now probably drop to 1585. A move to 2100 is underway.

SLV - May Silver: I think silver is headed for 50.00. The 31.50 level is now support.

Google: Google is now headed for its 2007 top near 750. Next upside resistance above the market is at 662. Support is at 635.

Apple: Resistance is at 632. and support at 590.


Nav said...
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Adsense said...

Hi Carl
i called pt 18 a bit early
so Wednesday would now be pt 18
what should transpire next is 19 20 21 22 23 . basically a 5 wave move to the upside . i still think that using the Lindsay time spans and considering a new bull market phase beginning at late June early July 2010 is going to prove accurate .
the 3 peaks domed house pattern is fairly clean and the movements are looking textbook at this juncture
good luck