Monday, December 05, 2016

Guesstimates on December 5, 2016t

December S&P E-mini Futures: The ES dropped visibly below 2185 support on the news from Italy last night but European buyers quickly stepped in and pushed the ES up to 2105. I think last night’s 2179 low ended the drop from 2213.75. The market should not be on its way up to 2238 and above.
QQQ:  The 120 level is still resistance but I expect to see the Q’s trade up to 125 at least.
TNX (ten year note yield): The initial 2.50% target was nearly reached on Friday’s 2.49% print. However I think a push up into the 2.85-3.00 zone is likely before the longer term up trend in yields pauses. The 10 year yield is now well above its 200 day moving average which suggests that a sustained rise in yields is underway. I think this paradoxically is a very bullish omen for world stock markets.
Euro-US Dollar: The ECB’s QE policy will ultimately drop the Euro below par.
Dollar-Yen: A new bull market is underway. Support now is at 108. Upside target is 126-27 then 136
January Crude: Crude is in a bull market. Support is still at 40-41. Next upside target is 56-58.
February Gold:  Gold is headed back to its 1035 low and quite possibly lower.
March Silver: The support level at 17.00 has failed. Silver is headed for 13.00 and below.
Google: Support is 675. Upside target is 880.
Apple:  I still think the bull market in APPL is intact. If it is AAPL is on its way to 135.
Facebook: Support at 112. Next upside target is 145.
Twitter: Breakout support at 20 is likely to stop the current rally. TWTR is headed for 10.00.
Alibaba: The 85-90 zone is strong support and I expect BABA to swing up to 125 from there.
Visa: Support is at 70. Upside target is 90-95.

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