Friday, August 18, 2006

Guesstimates on August 18, 8:50 am ET

September S&P Futures: Support is now at 1292.  The market is on its way to 1309 and eventually to 1417 by the end of the year.

September Bonds: I think the bonds are on the way to 110.

September 10 Year Notes: A rally to 107-16 is underway.

Euro-US Dollar: I still think that the market will rally to 129.40 before a big drop starts.  Support is at 127.70 and weakness below there will mean that the big drop I am expecting has already begun.

Dollar-Yen: Support is at 115.30. The yen is on the way  to 119.50. The yen should reach 130 over the next year.

September Crude: Downside target is 68.00 and resistance above the market is at 76.60.

December Gold: I now think that gold has begun an extended drop that will carry it below the 500 level.

September Silver: I think silver has begun an extended drop that will carry it below 900.  

Google:  Support is now at 376 and I think GOOG will soon move above its all time high of 475.  

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