Monday, April 16, 2012

Guesstimates on April 16, 2012

June S&P E-mini Futures: Today's day session range estimate is 1367-1380. I still think that last week's1352.50 low will hold but a weak close today would change my mind. Meantime I will stick with my view that a move to new bull market highs is underway.

QQQ: Next upside target is 70.00.

TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield has drifted back into its recent multi-month trading range but I think support at 1.95% will hold. I still think that the 10 year yield has started a move to 3.00%.

Euro-US Dollar: The Euro has rejected the 1.3300 resistance level. The market is headed for 1.2600.

Dollar-Yen: Support is at 81.00. As long as the yen doesn't spend more than a day or two below that level I will stick with my view that it is headed up to 90.00

May Crude: An extended upswing is underway. It will probably take crude to 114 or so.

GLD – June Gold: Gold will probably drop to 1585. A move to 2100 is underway.

SLV - May Silver: I think silver is headed for 50.00. The 31.50 level is now support.

Google: Google is now headed for its 2007 top near 750. Next upside resistance above the market is at 662. Support at 635 has been broken but I think the 615 level will hold.

Apple: Resistance now is at 650 and support at 610.

1 comment:

Win said...

Carl, I think the problem with the ten-year yield is Operation Twist. Once the fed stops actively buying LT bonds (in June, I gather), rates will rise and TLT will fall. I think this will mean a rise in the market, not a drop as many anticipate.