Wednesday, September 05, 2012

Guesstimates on September 5, 2012

September S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate is 1400-1412.  Over the next month or two the market should move above 1450.
QQQ:  A move to 76 is underway.
TNX (ten year note yield):  The 10 year yield has started to rally. If this rally has legs it could easily push the 10 year yield to 2.50% or even higher. The bond market is anticipating a revival of economic activity in the US.
Euro-US Dollar: Resistance above the market at 1.2600 has been reached. The next development should be a drop to 1.1900.
Dollar-Yen: This market is headed for 75 and lower.
October Crude: The market should stop near 96.  I think the next development will be a resumption of the bear market in crude. Next downside target is 66.
GLD – December Gold:   The market dropped a few weeks ago to the vicinity of the September and December low points at 1544 and 1529 and has started to rally. I think a sustained up move is underway.  
SLV - December Silver: A sustained move up is underway.
Google: Google held support near 562 and now is headed up to 750.
Apple: AAPL  is headed to 690-700.  Support stands at 645.


Barry said...

Yesterday you wrote: "The market's refusal to follow through on its rallies from the 1395-97 range makes it likely that a drop to 1385 or so will develop before a significant up move begins."

Since this is missing today in your 'guestimates' should we assume a downturn is now less likely to occur, or does your comment of Sept 4 still apply?

Nav said...

1412 was a clear day 1400--1412 trade but news like things affected but atlast here 1412 is.
I learnt from you but I'm glad I am a reaaly proven good student so far.
Thank You.
A great day,Sir!