Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Guesstimates on March 20, 8:50 am ET

Spiders - June S&P Futures: I have nearly reached 140.50 resistance and the next swing should carry the market down to 135.00. The S&P’s should stall in the 1415-20 zone and then begin a drop to 1360.

QQQQ: I don’t think the Q’s will make it as far as resistance at 43.70 before they start down to the target for the entire correction at 41.00.

TLT - June Bonds: TLT is headed up into the 94-95 range. The bonds should hold the112-08 level and then rally to 114-24. Over the next few months the bonds are headed for 120.

June 10 Year Notes: The notes made their low on January 26 and are now headed for 111. Short term support is at 108-08 and the next upside target is 109-18.

Euro-US Dollar: The Euro is headed for 134.20, a new high for the move up from the 116.39 low. However, I think that the next 500 pips from current levels will be down, not up.

Dollar-Yen: My best guess now is that the entire drop from the 122.18 level will carry the market to 114. Meantime the 118.30 level is resistance. I expect to see the yen trade at 130 later this year.

OIH - USO - May Crude: OIH should soon drop to 129-130. USO should drop to 45. May crude is headed down to 54.50.

GLD - April Gold
: I think that both GLD and April gold have begun an extended decline that will carry gold well below 600. Resistance in the futures is at 665.

May Silver: Silver has begun an extended drop that will carry the market below 1000. Resistance in the futures is at 1336.

Google: Support in Google is at 430. From there a move to 564 will begin.

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