Carl Futia

Real Time e-mini S&P Trading, plus contrarian commentary on all the markets, all the time

Monday, May 11, 2009

Long second unit at 912.50

Posted by Carl Futia at 2:45 PM
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    Carl Futia
    I write two financial blogs. The first is Carl Futia.On this blog I post daily "guestimates" of the current trends and trend potential in important markets. My second blog, Carl Futia Real Time, is subscription based. It is a real time trading seminar in which members receive my real time analysis of the E-mini S&P futures and can watch me trade them. In this seminar I explain how I calculate support and resistance levels and how I recognize market "rejections" of support or resistance which then determine the current trend directions.
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    Blog E-mini Trading Record since start on October 22, 2007

    Percentage gains calculated based on one contract traded per $10,000 of account equity and are net of $5 per round turn commission.

    Profits are NOT used to increase position size.

    Year 2008 gain: 129%

    Year 2009 gain: 133%

    Year 2010 gain: 20%

    Year 2011 gain: 81%

    Year 2012 gain: 12%

    Year 2013 gain: 29%

    Year 2014 gain : 59%

    Year 2015 gain: 169%

    Year 2016 gain: 371%

    Years 2017-18 - see monthly trading record above

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        • Sold long position at 906.75
        • Long second unit at 906.00
        • Long one unit at 905.25
        • Why I got out
        • Sold long position at 908.00
        • A few more comments on bonds
        • Bought second unit at 904.50
        • Long one unit at 911.50
        • Guesstimates on May 29, 2009
        • Supply shock ? - Never Mind !
        • The bond market
        • Supply Shock
        • Guesstimates on May 28, 2009
        • Quick update
        • Update at 3 pm
        • Sold long position at 898.00
        • Noon update
        • Long second unit at 910.00
        • Long 0ne unit at 906.50
        • Guesstimates on May 27, 2009
        • Tomorrow
        • Update at 2 pm
        • Demand Shock
        • Covered at 890.75 - corrected from 890.00
        • Short one unit at 882.50
        • Guesstimates on May 26, 2009
        • Update at 10:30 am
        • Guesstimates on May 22, 2009
        • Tomorrow
        • Covered both short units at 886.00
        • short second unit at 883.50
        • Short one unit at 887.00
        • Range revision
        • Covered short at 887.50 - low volume after breakout
        • Short one unit at 887.00
        • Guesstimates on May 21, 2009
        • How big a reaction?
        • Revised range estimate
        • Sold both long units at 908.50
        • Long second unit at 911.75
        • Update
        • Sold one long unit at 918.00 - still long one
        • Probable demand shock
        • Long second unit at 920.25
        • Long one unit at 917.00
        • Guesstimates on May 20, 2009
        • Blood from a rock
        • sold longs at 912.50
        • What changed?
        • Long second unit at 911.25
        • Long one unit at 909.50
        • Sometimes I just get the urge to sell
        • sold both long units at 912.00
        • Range revision
        • Long second unit at 907.75
        • Long one unit at 907.00
        • Guesstimates on May 19, 2009
        • Why I got out
        • sold both long units at 903.00
        • Breakout Ahead
        • Long second unit at 895.00
        • Long one unit at 894.75
        • Sold long unit at 889.25
        • Long one unit at 894.00
        • Guesstimates on May 18, 2009
        • Why I covered
        • Covered both short units at 878.00
        • Short second unit at 879.25
        • Shorted one unit at 885.00
        • Yet another revision
        • Sold both long units at 887.50
        • New range estimate
        • Long second unit at 893.25
        • Long one unit at 890.75
        • Covered short at 890.00
        • Reshorted one unit at 887.50
        • Covered short unit at 890.00
        • Short one unit at 887.25
        • Guesstimates on May 15, 2009
        • Why I got out
        • sold both long units at 893.75
        • Tactics
        • Bought second unit at 890.00
        • Long one unit at 889.50
        • Why I got long
        • Sold long unit at 884.00
        • Long one unit at 888.50
        • Guesstimates on May 14, 2009
        • Reaction nearly complete
        • Revised range estimate
        • Guesstimates on May 13, 2009
        • Tomorrow
        • Going up
        • Sellers in Control
        • Guesstimates on May 12, 2009
        • Dead Center
        • Sold 2 units at 910.50
        • Long second unit at 912.50
        • Looking bullish
        • Long one unit at 913.50
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