Monday, December 12, 2005

Silver


Here is a daily chart of March '06 silver futures.

Back in February 1991 silver established a low of 351 which ended the bear market that started after the infamous Hunt silver corner was broken in January 1980. At the 1980 top silver futures briefly traded above $40!

As I mentioned in a recent gold post, I find it useful to look at multiples of bear market lows when calculating support and resistance levels. The most useful ones are multiples of "1/8" that are not also multiples of "1/4". Of these the most important are the 1/8 and 5/8 multiples.

In the chart above you see strong evidence that the recent run-up is silver is at its end, at least temporarily. March '06 silver today hit the 921 level which is 2 5/8 the 1991 low of 351. Gold hit the 535 level which is 2 1/8 the 1999 low at 252.

I think both markets are about to start substantial reactions from current levels.

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