Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Guesstimates on October 10, 8:50 am ET

December S&P Futures: I still think the market is about to stall below last week’s high at 1363.25 and then drop to support in the 1350-52 zone. After that I shall be looking for a rally to 1370-75 followed by at 25-30 point break. I expect to see a 1400 print later this year.

December Bonds: The bonds are now headed down into the 107-108 area.

December 10 Year Notes: The notes are now headed down to 105-16 or so.

Euro-US Dollar: I think that the market is now headed back down to 124.50 and eventually much lower than that. Resistance today is at 126.25.

Dollar-Yen: I think the yen will rally a little more, say to 120.50, before a reaction of 150-200 pips starts. I expect to see the yen at 130 next year.

November Crude: I think the market will rally to resistance near 65.00. However I also expect to see crude trading in the 50-55 range sometime during the next 6 months.

December Gold: The market has turned definitely lower and is now headed below 550 and later below 500.

December Silver: Silver has made a top at 1155 yesterday and is now resuming its drop to below the 900 level.

Google: Support is at 410 and I think GOOG will soon move above its all time high of 475.

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