Friday, October 06, 2006

Guesstimates on October 6, 8:50 am ET

December S&P Futures: The market hit the 1363 level late yesterday and now should react to 1352 or so. The next step upward is likely to carry into the 1370-75 zone. I expect to see a 1400 print later this year.  

December Bonds: The bonds will probably drop to 111-24 and then rally to 114-04. I think that a more substantial drop will develop from the 114-115 range.

December 10 Year Notes: The notes should hold support near 108-00. The next step up should carry the market to 109-00. I think the notes will rally into the 109-110 range before a more substantial drop begins.

Euro-US Dollar:  I think that the market is now headed back down to 124.50 and eventually much lower than that.

Dollar-Yen: Support today is at 117.30. The yen is headed for resistance at 119.50. I expect to see the yen at 130 next year.

November Crude:  I think the market will rally to resistance near 65.00.  However I also expect to see crude trading in the 50-55 range sometime during the next 6 months.

December Gold: Resistance today is at 680. The market has turned down from a lower top and now is headed below 500.

December Silver: Resistance today is at 1116. The market has turned down from a lower top and is now headed below the 900 level.

Google:  Support is at 394 and I think GOOG will soon move above its all time high of 475.  

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