Tuesday, November 07, 2006

Guesstimates on November 7, 8:50 am ET

December S&P Futures: The market is now headed up into the 1410-20 range.  I expect the S&P’s to be supported today near 1380.  

December Bonds: The bonds have reached support at 111-12 but the reaction from 113-10 does not yet show any sort of three phase structure. So I think we shall see a couple of sideways days followed by a drop to 111-00 or so.  Resistance above the market is at  112-04. I think the bonds are headed for 115-116 over the next few weeks.

December 10 Year Notes: The notes will probably rally to 107-28 and then drop to 107-00 or so before resuming the move to 110-16.  

Euro-US Dollar:  The euro is headed back up into the 129-130 zone. Support is still at 126.60 while the next upside target is 128.50.

Dollar-Yen: The yen in on the way to 121.00. I expect to see the yen at 130 next year.

December Crude:  Crude has held support at 57.20 and I think the market will rally to 62.00 or so.

December Gold: Any strength above 630 will lead me to expect continuation up into the 670-680 zone.  Support is at 610 in the meantime.

December Silver: Silver has traded has high as 1280. Any strength above that level will mean that the market is headed up to 1360.

Google:  GOOG will soon reach its initial 507 target and then move on to its higher 564 target.  Support is at 463.  

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